Mobile Robots to Outpace Fixed Automation: Interact Analysis

There is a clear transition taking place from automated guided vehicles to autonomous mobile robots, with AGV revenue expected to drop from around 33% of total mobile robot revenue in 2024 to 20% in 2030.

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Mobile robots will remain a high-growth industry in 2026, with an average annual growth rate of 19% forecast from 2024-2030, according to Interact Analysis.

In fact, revenue for the mobile robot space is predicted to climb from just under $5 billion in 2024 to $14 billion in 2030. This follows a downward revision of 12% from its May forecast, as tariff uncertainty disrupted investment.

Interact Analysis Mobile Robots Unit ShipmentsInteract Analysis

“Despite lower shipment share, forklifts – particularly AGV forklifts – generate the highest revenues due to premium pricing. By 2030, forklifts are projected to deliver roughly 33% of total mobile robot revenue, while contributing only 14% of shipments. This underscores their strategic importance and revenue potential. The forklift segment continues to attract new entrants and innovation, with vendors expanding portfolios to include forklifts as part of integrated mobile automation solutions,” says Ash Sharma, Interact Analysis VP, research, robotics and warehouse automation.

Key takeaways:

 

·       The market still significantly outpaces a predicted average annual growth rate of 2.4% for fixed automation.

·       There is a clear transition taking place from automated guided vehicles (AGVs) to autonomous mobile robots (AMRs), with AGV revenue expected to drop from around 33% of total mobile robot revenue in 2024 to 20% in 2030.

·       China’s share of the mobile robots market will fall from 58% in 2024 to 46% in 2030, as other regions see growth accelerate. China drove early adoption of mobile automation, fueled by government support, rapid e-commerce growth, and a large manufacturing base. Other markets are now witnessing strong expansion, while China is anticipated to see domestic demand plateau. This will contribute to a fall in China’s mobile robots revenue share from 36% to 27% over the forecast period, due to lower average price per unit.

·       Order fulfillment robots are forecast to account for around 50% of shipments by 2030, driven by strong demand in warehouse and e-commerce applications. Meanwhile, mobile forklifts will account for an estimated one-third of total mobile robot revenue, despite a smaller share of overall shipments.

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