Small Businesses Remain Confident in Growth Opportunities Despite Tariff Impacts

Small businesses remain confident, with 93% expecting growth in the next year and 31% projecting significant growth — the highest since Q1 2024.

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Small business optimism remains strong as owners continue to embrace AI and monitor changing market conditions, according to the latest Small Business Cash Flow Trend Report from OnDeck, part of Enova, and Ocrolus.

"Small businesses remain confident in growth opportunities in the coming year, even as they navigate challenges like inflation and cash flow," says Jim Granat, co-president of small business at Enova. "They're investing in AI, choosing FinTechs for faster access to capital and staying focused on what they can control – their customers, cash flow and creativity."

"AI-powered data and analytics are transforming how lenders understand small businesses," says David Snitkof, general manager of SMB at Ocrolus. "By leveraging advanced cash flow analytics to assess real-time financial health, lenders can make decisions with greater speed and confidence, enabling them to help small business owners secure the capital they need to grow and thrive."

Key takeaways:

  • Small businesses remain confident, with 93% expecting growth in the next year and 31% projecting significant growth — the highest since Q1 2024.
  • 75% of small businesses surveyed are bypassing traditional banks for non-bank or fintech lenders when seeking funding, up slightly from 73% in Q2.
  • Cash flow and inflation remain the top concerns for small business owners, reported by 30% of respondents.
  • A majority of business owners (52%) have incorporated AI into their operations.
  • Most small business owners (65%) remain unsure about the impact of tariffs, saying other factors – such as seasonal demand (40%) and credit access (38%) – will shape their business strategy more than tariffs (18%) for the rest of the year.
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